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Bitcoin – the world’s largest digital currency by market capitalisation, has led to some incredible returns for certain investors. We have all heard tales of ‘Bitcoin Millionaires’- people who got rich by investing in the cryptocurrency and holding it long enough to gain a considerable profit.
However, many people attribute this to Bitcoin’s highly volatile nature since the digital currency experiences significant price fluctuations.
Price fluctuations in the Bitcoin spot rate are determined by many factors. Volatility is usually measured by the Volatility Index, also known as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). The Bitcoin Volatility Index has also recently become available to track the volatility of Bitcoin over different periods of time.
Bitcoin’s value has been historically quite volatile, but why?
Here are a few of the several factors behind Bitcoin’s volatility:
Small Market Size
Just like other digital currencies, Bitcoin’s market is relatively small when compared to markets for traditional assets such as stocks, bonds and fiat currencies. The total market capitalisation (market cap) of Bitcoin pales in comparison to the scope of these traditional asset markets.
Why does this matter? Large markets are more resistant to manipulation than small markets. Bitcoin’s market value is aggregated from several exchanges. In other words, the total figure represents several different markets.
While the changes in supply and demand could be due to shifting market sentiment or investors reacting to some news, they could also be caused by efforts to manipulate the market. All it takes is one major investor or a group of smaller investors working together to create a sharp gain or loss in the value of a particular digital currency.
News
News is a major factor that contributes to the volatility in Bitcoin prices. When news is positive, it can drive investor interest and cause market participants to buy Bitcoin, pushing its price higher.
Media outlets have also published plenty of negative news surrounding Bitcoin which leads to sharp and sudden price drops.
Regulation
The first Bitcoins came into existence in 2009. Since the inception of Bitcoin, multiple governments around the world have made efforts to regulate Bitcoin and other digital currencies. This is another area potentially contributing to Bitcoin’s intense volatility.
While various governments have initiated efforts to develop regulations for Bitcoin and other digital currencies, lawmakers and regulators have not yet worked together to create regulation that spans many nations.
Inequality of Wealth
Data from BitinfoCharts shows that in 2017, the top 10 largest Bitcoin wallets held roughly 10% of the currency.
If a person collects a sizable amount of Bitcoin, he or she can trigger substantial price fluctuations by selling a fraction of his or her Bitcoin holdings.
Sentiment
If the sentiment surrounding Bitcoin becomes more positive, this can contribute to sharp increases in demand and upswings in price. Furthermore, price gains and optimism can combine to create media hype cycles that take place when climbing values cause greater media coverage. This triggers additional purchases and price appreciation.
Changes in sentiment can have the exact opposite effect on price. If investors start fleeing an asset like Bitcoin, the plunging prices can prompt widespread media coverage, causing even more people to either sell or simply avoid purchasing it.
Speculation
Several observers of the market have noted that speculation plays a key role in Bitcoin’s price fluctuations.
Bitcoin is a speculator’s dream, the only thing that will impact its price is how other investors believe the price is going to change. This is why selling futures contracts and other derivatives in Bitcoin can be both fruitful and frustrating depending on speculation and the eventual outcome of it.
Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are volatile because at the end of the day they’re all about speculation.
Conclusion
The market won’t stay so volatile forever as technological improvements should make transactions easier and more secure, increasing the popularity and stability of the cryptocurrency.
However, that being said, the Bitcoin market will seemingly stay volatile for the foreseeable future. Is this a problem for new investors who are unfamiliar with cryptocurrencies?
The answer to this question is subjective and largely depends on your perspective.
Bitcoin’s volatility should not prove to be a massive problem if you take it into account when creating an investment strategy. It opens up new opportunities for both experienced and inexperienced investors.
It’s safe to say that investors who are interested in investing in Bitcoin may benefit significantly from conducting research and examination before getting involved. So, educate yourself sufficiently before diving into the world of Bitcoin.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What Are The Chances Of Bitcoin Crashing?
Two Yale University economists (Yukun Liu and Aleh Tsyvinski) produced research titled "Risks and Returns of Cryptocurrency" in 2018. They looked at the possibility of Bitcoin crashing to zero in a single day. The authors discovered that the chances of an undefined tragedy crashing Bitcoin to zero ranged from 0 percent to 1.3 percent and was around 0.4 percent at the time of publishing, using Bitcoin's history returns to determine its risk-neutral disaster probability. Others claim that because Bitcoin has no intrinsic value, it will inevitably crash to zero. On the other hand, Bitcoin advocates argue that the currency is backed by customer confidence and mathematics.
How Does Bitcoin Work?
The blockchain, a distributed digital ledger, is what Bitcoin is based on. As the name suggests, blockchain is a linked database made up of blocks that store information about each transaction, such as the date and time, total amount, buyer and seller, and a unique identifier for each exchange. Entries are linked in chronological order to form a digital blockchain. Entries are linked in chronological order to form a digital blockchain. Blockchain is decentralized, which means any central authority does not control it.
How Bitcoin Works?
Bitcoin is based on the blockchain, a distributed digital ledger. As the name implies, blockchain is a connected database made up of blocks that hold information about each transaction, such as the date and time, total value, buyer and seller, and a unique identifier for each exchange. Entries are linked in chronological sequence, forming a digital chain of blocks. Blockchain is decentralized, meaning a centralized institution does not own it
Is Bitcoin And Cryptocurrency The Same Thing?
Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that was designed to facilitate cross-border transactions, eliminate government control over transactions, and streamline the entire process without third-party intermediaries. The absence of intermediaries has resulted in a significant reduction in transaction costs. Satoshi Nakamoto, the creator of Bitcoin, created the first cryptocurrency in 2008. It began as open-source software for money transfers. Since then, plenty of cryptocurrencies have emerged, with some focusing on specific fields.
How Many Bitcoins Will Ever Be Created?
The source code of Bitcoin stipulates that it must have a restricted and finite quantity. As a result, only 21 million Bitcoins will ever be generated. These Bitcoins are added to the Bitcoin supply at a predetermined rate of one block every ten minutes on average. The supply of Bitcoins will be depleted once miners have unlocked this number of Bitcoins. It's possible, however, that the protocol for Bitcoin will be altered to allow for a higher supply.
Can Bitcoin Be Converted To Real Money?
Crypto exchanges, Bitcoin ATMs, Bitcoin Debit Cards, and Peer Peer Transactions are all options for converting Bitcoin to cash. This can be accomplished by using Bitcoin exchanges such as WazirX. A Bitcoin ATM is a real place where you may purchase and sell Bitcoins with cash, unlike standard ATMs that allow you to withdraw money from your bank account. Many websites provide the option of purchasing Bitcoin in return for a prepaid debit card that works similarly to a standard debit card. Through a peer-to-peer marketplace, you may sell Bitcoin for cash faster and more privately.
How To Invest In Bitcoin?
Bitcoin may be invested in two ways: through mining or exchanges. Bitcoin mining is carried out by high-powered computers that solve challenging computational arithmetic problems that are too difficult to complete by hand and complex enough to tax even the most powerful computers. WazirX, a Bitcoin exchange, is another alternative.
Is Bitcoin Legal In India?
In India, Bitcoin is not illegal. Because of cryptocurrency's rapid evolution, policymakers and regulators seemed to have recognized the chance to accept the new technology early. From the infamous 'RBI ban' in 2018 to reports of an impending bill banning cryptos in 2021 that has yet to develop, India has seen its fair share of ups and downs when it comes to Bitcoin regulation. Last year, the Supreme Court Of India approved the use of Bitcoin throughout the country. According to the Supreme Court, the existence of Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency is unregulated but not unlawful.
How Bitcoin Mining Works?
Bitcoin mining is a crucial element of the blockchain ledger's upkeep and development and the act of bringing new Bitcoins into circulation. It's done with the help of cutting-edge computers that solve exceedingly challenging computational arithmetic problems. Auditor miners are rewarded for their work. They're in charge of ensuring that Bitcoin transactions go through smoothly and legitimately. This standard was established by Satoshi Nakamoto, the founder of Bitcoin, to keep Bitcoin users ethical. By confirming transactions, miners assist in avoiding the "double-spending issue."
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency is not a legal tender and is currently unregulated. Kindly ensure that you undertake sufficient risk assessment when trading cryptocurrencies as they are often subject to high price volatility. The information provided in this section doesn't represent any investment advice or WazirX's official position. WazirX reserves the right in its sole discretion to amend or change this blog post at any time and for any reasons without prior notice.
